Article Summary
- Unlike a regular Treasury bond, a TIPS bond's principal is periodically adjusted based on changes in a standard measure of consumer prices, which then flows through to a larger or smaller interest payment.
- TIPS held in a taxable account can create a tax bill on inflation adjustments to principal in years when that adjusted amount hasn't actually been received as cash yet, a quirk sometimes called "phantom income" that makes TIPS generally better suited to tax-advantaged accounts.
- TIPS are designed to protect against inflation risk specifically, not to maximize returns — in a low-inflation environment, a regular Treasury bond may end up outperforming a comparable TIPS bond.
"Inflation is as violent as a mugger, as frightening as an armed robber and as deadly as a hit man."
Ronald Reagan
A fixed-rate bond makes a very specific promise: this dollar amount, at this future date, no matter what happens to prices in the meantime. For decades that promise was good enough for most investors, until a stretch of unexpectedly high inflation reminded everyone that a dollar in ten years isn't guaranteed to buy what a dollar buys today. TIPS were created specifically to solve that problem — a bond whose value moves with the cost of living instead of staying frozen in nominal terms — but the mechanism behind them trips up a lot of investors who assume it works exactly like a normal bond with an inflation label stapled on.
How the Inflation Adjustment Mechanism Works
A regular Treasury bond has a fixed face value and pays a fixed coupon rate on that value for its entire life. A TIPS bond instead has its principal periodically adjusted based on changes in a standard government measure of consumer prices — when that measure of inflation rises, the TIPS principal is adjusted upward; in the unusual case where prices fall, the principal is adjusted downward, though TIPS include a floor that guarantees you'll receive at least your original principal back at maturity even if there's been overall deflation over the bond's life.
The stated coupon rate on a TIPS bond is applied to this adjusted principal rather than to the original face value, which means the actual dollar amount of each interest payment rises and falls with inflation even though the percentage rate itself is fixed. At maturity, you receive whichever is greater: the inflation-adjusted principal or the original face value, which is the built-in deflation protection mentioned above.
The Tax Quirk That Catches People Off Guard
TIPS held in a regular taxable brokerage account create a tax complication known informally as phantom income. Because the annual increase in the bond's inflation-adjusted principal is generally treated as taxable interest income in the year it occurs — even though you don't actually receive that adjustment in cash until the bond matures or is sold — you can owe tax on income you haven't collected yet. In a year with significant inflation, this can mean a real tax bill funded out of pocket rather than from the bond's cash flow.
This is the main reason TIPS are generally considered a better fit for tax-advantaged accounts like an IRA or 401(k), where the phantom income issue simply doesn't apply since gains aren't taxed annually in those account types. Investors who hold TIPS directly in a taxable account, whether individually or through certain fund structures, should go in understanding this tax treatment rather than being surprised by it at filing time.
TIPS vs. Regular Treasuries: The Real Trade-Off
TIPS generally carry a lower stated coupon rate than a comparable-maturity regular Treasury bond, because part of your total return is expected to come from the inflation adjustment rather than the coupon alone. The gap between a regular Treasury's yield and a TIPS bond's yield of the same maturity is sometimes called the breakeven inflation rate — roughly, the average annual inflation rate at which the two investments would produce the same total return over that period.
If actual inflation runs higher than that breakeven rate over the bond's life, TIPS will generally have been the better choice in hindsight; if inflation runs lower, the regular Treasury would have come out ahead. Since nobody can reliably predict future inflation with precision, this is fundamentally a form of insurance against an inflation surprise rather than a bet that's obviously right or wrong in advance — you're paying a modest, implicit premium for protection you may or may not end up needing.
Where TIPS Fit in a Portfolio
TIPS are generally most useful as a component of the fixed-income portion of a portfolio for investors specifically concerned about inflation eroding future purchasing power, rather than as a core holding meant to maximize returns. Retirees drawing down a portfolio for living expenses often have a particular interest in TIPS, since protecting the purchasing power of a fixed income stream matters more once you're no longer earning a paycheck that might itself rise with inflation.
A reasonable approach for most investors is to treat TIPS as one piece of a diversified bond allocation, held preferably in a tax-advantaged account, rather than an all-or-nothing choice against regular Treasuries. A TIPS-focused bond fund can offer this exposure without needing to manage individual bond maturities and inflation adjustments by hand, which is generally the simpler route for most individual investors.